Posted by Willful on November 19, 2013, at 10:05:54
In reply to Re: market crash in 3-6 months?, posted by linkadge on November 18, 2013, at 18:01:52
Hi,
I'm still curious about your training in economics that gives you this analysis.
Did you study it in college or graduate school? Do you have some other insight into the stock market?
The recent periodicity of the stock market suggests that there would be a much longer period between the recent crash (if you want to call it that), and the next one. There have, at intervals, been specific steep downturns, like the end of the dotcom boom and the housing bubble--but the period of recovery and boom were fairly long, and there has been in general, an upward trend for the stock market, for many years. So I wondered why you were predicting a crash so soon after the last turbulence?
By way, I mean what is the logic behind it? Just because the stock market has gone up recently, doesn't mean that there will be an imminent crash. There have to be specific factors or markets that for specific reasons you think are inflated. So I was wondered what these clear warning signs were, in your mind?
Willful
Emsam.
Abilify
Provigil
Rilutek
poster:Willful
thread:1054541
URL: http://www.dr-bob.org/babble/social/20131110/msgs/1054609.html